7th International Conference on Predictive Models in Software Engineering
Banff, Canada, Sept 20-21, 2011 (Co-located with ESEM'11)

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Apr 14'11: Due to numerous requests, we extended the submission deadline to May 22.

Jan 2'11: New keynote: Massimiliano Di Penta

Dec 28'10: New keynote speaker: Laurie Williams

Oct 31'10: PROMISE poster now on-line.

Oct 20'10: PROMISE Papers to appear in IST.

Sept 30'10: PROMISE to be held at Banff Canada with ESEM.

PROMISE'11 (industry)
Data repository

2005, 2006, 2007,
2008, 2009, 2010

The PROMISE conference seeks verifiable and repeatable models that are useful for the implementation, evaluation, and management of software processes and projects. Such models relate to software development efforts (both in general or software development for specific domains such as telecom, finance, scientific applications, etc).

For statistics on number of submissions, acceptances, etc, and notes on our review processes, see stats.php.

Conference proceedings are available here for one week. Afterwards, papers will be available through the ACM portal.

Photos from the meeting

Tuesday, September 20

07:30 - 08.30: Breakfast
Location: Vista Dining Room
8:45: Welcome
Location: KCCI 101

Welcome and Best paper award.

9:00 Keynote #1
Location: KCCI 101
Chair: Stefan Wagner

Seven Habits of High Impactful Empirical Software Engineers
Laurie Williams
Department of Computer Science North Carolina State University

10:00 - 10:30: Coffee break
10:30 - 12:00: Session 1
Location: KCCI 101
Chair: Ayse Benar

  • Does Measuring Code Change Improve Fault Prediction?
    Robert Bell, Thomas Ostrand and Elaine Weyuker.
    Promise 2011: "Does Measuring Code Change Improve Fault Prediction?"
    View more presentations from Tim Menzies.

  • An Analysis of Trends in Productivity and Cost Drivers over Years
    Vu Nguyen, Liguo Huang and Barry Boehm.

  • Handling missing data in software effort prediction with naive Bayes and EM
    Wen Zhang, Ye Yang and Qing Wang.

12:00 - 13:30 : Lunch
Location: Vista Dining Room
13:30 - 1500: Session 2
Location: KCCI 101
Chair: Jacky Keung
  • Panel: Practical Software Project Improvements using Actionable Predictive Models and Solutions Chair: Jacky Keung.
    1. Introduction (Keung; 20mins): general notes, comments on effort estimation and actionable models.

    2. Paper (30 mins): Failure is a Four-Letter Word: A Satire in Empirical Research Andreas Zeller, Thomas Zimmermann and Christian Bird.

    3. Panelist discussion (40mins): by Emila Mendes, Wang Qing, Martin Shepperd

15:00 - 15:30: Coffee break
15:30 - 17:30: Session 3
Location: KCCI 101
Chair: Tom Ostrand
  • Software Effort Estimation Based on Optimized Model Tree
    Mohammad Azzeh.
  • Are Change Metrics Good Predictors for an Evolving Software Product Line?
    Sandeep Krishnan, Chris Strasburg, Robyn Lutz and Katerina Goseva-Popstojanova.

  • Detecting Bug Duplicate Reports through Locality of Reference
    Tomi Prifti, Sean Banerjee and Bojan Cukic.

  • A Principled Evaluation of Ensembles of Learning Machines for Software Effort Estimation
    Leandro Minku and Xin Yao.
7pm : Conference dinner
Location: ,Kinnear Centre, KC 201 (dinner + 2 drinks covered by registration fee).

Wednesday, September 21

07:30 - 08.30: Breakfast
Location: Vista Dining Room
9:00 - 10:00 : Keynote #2
Location: KCCI 101
Chair: Tim Menzies

Nothing else Matters: What Predictive Model should I use?
Massimiliano Di Penta
Dept. of Engineering, University of Sannio, Benevento, Italy

10:00 - 10:30 : Coffee break
10:30 - 12:00 : Session 4
Location: KCC1 101
Chair: Ye Yang
  • Studying the Fix-Time for Bugs in Large Open Source Projects
    Lionel Marks, Ahmed E. Hassan and Ying Zou.

  • Selecting Discriminating Terms for Bug Assignment: A Formal Analysis
    Ibrahim Aljarah, Shadi Banitaan, Sameer Abufardeh, Wei Jin and Saeed Salem.

  • Empirical validation of human factors on predicting issue resolution time in open source projects
    Anh Nguyen Duc, Daniela Cruzes, Claudia Ayala and Reidar Conradi.

12:00 - 13:30 : Lunch
Location: Vista Dining Room
13:30 - 15:00 : Session 5
Location: KCCI 101
Chair: Tim Menzies
  • Panel: The Road Ahead in Predictive Modeling Chair: Ayse Bener.
    1. Industry involvement and needs (15mins): report from iPromise, Toronto, July 2011;
    2. Panel discussion (75mins):
      • Panelists: Hakan Erdogmusm Mika Mantyla, Barbara Russo, Guenther Ruhe, Burak Turhan.
      • Topics: maturity of predictive models (generalization/ locality, policy making etc); repeatability; data analysis (the human side of modeling and metrics); tool support in wide usage of predictive models in the field

15:00 - 15:30 : Coffee break
15:30 - 17:30 : Session 6
Location: KCCI 101
Chair: Stefan Wagner
  • BEST PAPER : Local Bias and its Impacts on the Performance of Parametric Estimation Models
    Ye Yang, Lang Xie, Zhimin He, Qi Li, Vu Nguyen, Barry Boehm and Ricardo Valerdi.

  • An Iterative Semi-supervised Approach to Software Fault Prediction
    Huihua Lu, Bojan Cukic and Mark Culp.

  • Customization Support for CBR-Based Defect Prediction
    Elham Paikari, Guenther Ruhe, Bo Sun and Emadoddin Livani.

  • An Empirical Evaluation of Outlier Deletion Methods for Analogy-Based Cost Estimation
    Masateru Tsunoda, Akito Monden, Takeshi Kakimoto and Kenichi Matsumoto.

Submission: May 22
Notification: July 1
Camera-Ready: July 21


Keynote speakers

Di Penta

Laurie Williams